A process of events with notification delay and the forecasting of AIDS
- 5 September 1989
- journal article
- research article
- Published by The Royal Society in Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. B, Biological Sciences
- Vol. 325 (1226), 135-145
- https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.1989.0078
Abstract
Analysis and prediction of a point process are studied when there is delay in notifying the occurrence of events. A primarily parametric approach is taken to studying the rate of the underlying process and to predicting future properties of the system. Data on AIDS are used in illustration.Keywords
This publication has 2 references indexed in Scilit:
- The distribution of the incubation period for the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS)Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. B. Biological Sciences, 1988
- Routine surveillance data on AIDS and HIV infections in the UK: a description of the data available and their use for short-term planningEpidemiology and Infection, 1988