HOUSEHOLD SURVEY OF DENGUE INFECTION IN CENTRAL BRAZIL: SPATIAL POINT PATTERN ANALYSIS AND RISK FACTORS ASSESSMENT

Abstract

Urban dengue fever is now considered a major public health threat in most American countries. A household survey was conducted in the city of Goiânia in central Brazil in 2001 to assess prevalence of dengue infection and individual and area-based risk factors. Spatial point pattern analysis was performed using the dual Kernel method. A total of 1,610 households were surveyed; 1,585 individuals more than five years old had blood and data collected. Sera were tested for IgM/IgG antibodies by an enzyme-linked immunoassay. Area-based indicators derived from census data were linked to geocoded residential address. The seroprevalence of dengue was 29.5% and the estimate prevalence surface reached 50% in the outskirts areas. The risk of infection was significantly associated with older age (P < 0.01), low education (odds ratio [OR] = 3.45, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.82–6.55), and low income (OR = 1.32, 95% CI = 1.02–1.71) in multivariate analysis. This study highlighted the heterogeneity of dengue transmission within the city and can assist in spatial targeting control interventions.