Post-transplant survival is improved for hepatitis C recipients who are RNA negative at time of liver transplantation

Abstract

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection recurs universally in patients who are viremic at liver transplantation and likely accounts for the diminished post-transplant graft and patient survival. We evaluated whether undetectable HCV RNA pretransplant improves graft and patient survival after transplantation. Cases, defined by HCV listing diagnosis and positive HCV antibody, were selected from the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients database and further grouped as HCV RNA-positive (n = 4978) or negative (n = 445) based upon pretransplant testing. Controls were non-HCV recipients (n = 2995). RNA-negative cases had significantly better 5-year graft (72% vs. 64%) and patient (79% vs. 69%) survival than RNA-positive cases (P < 0.01 for both), and similar survival as controls (Graft: 72% vs. 74%, 79% vs. 80%; P > 0.05 for both). Nonproportional hazards modeling of RNA-positive cases identified a subgroup with rapid progression leading to early graft loss and death. Multivariable analyses confirmed that a positive HCV RNA prior to transplantation was a significant independent predictor of graft loss and death. In conclusion, HCV patients who have undetectable RNA at the time of liver transplantation experience improved long-term graft and patient outcomes. We speculate that the post-transplant survival of HCV recipients could be improved by safe and tolerable pretransplant antiviral strategies.