Sensitivity of Three-Dimensional Trajectories to the Spatial and Temporal Densities of the Wind Field

Abstract
Initialization and forecast fields from the National Weather Service's (NWS) Nested Grid Model (NOM) were archived on the 90 km calculational grid at 2-hour intervals out to 12 hours twice per day, for the 3-month period of January–March 1987. The resulting time series of meteorological data were used to determine the sensitivity of calculated trajectories to changes in temporal and spatial density of meteorological data during a wide range of synoptic conditions. Trajectories were started from 63 evenly spaced locations, twice per day, for a duration of 4 days each over the 74-day period. The 9324 separate trajectories were computed using the meteorological data at 90, 180, and 360 km grid spacing and at 2-, 4-, 6-, and 12-hour time intervals. Calculated trajectories were compared with the base “truth” case of 2-hour data on the 90 km grid. Trajectories were most sensitive to changes in temporal resolution when the grid resolution was 90 and 180 km. Trajectories computed on the coarser 360 km gr... Abstract Initialization and forecast fields from the National Weather Service's (NWS) Nested Grid Model (NOM) were archived on the 90 km calculational grid at 2-hour intervals out to 12 hours twice per day, for the 3-month period of January–March 1987. The resulting time series of meteorological data were used to determine the sensitivity of calculated trajectories to changes in temporal and spatial density of meteorological data during a wide range of synoptic conditions. Trajectories were started from 63 evenly spaced locations, twice per day, for a duration of 4 days each over the 74-day period. The 9324 separate trajectories were computed using the meteorological data at 90, 180, and 360 km grid spacing and at 2-, 4-, 6-, and 12-hour time intervals. Calculated trajectories were compared with the base “truth” case of 2-hour data on the 90 km grid. Trajectories were most sensitive to changes in temporal resolution when the grid resolution was 90 and 180 km. Trajectories computed on the coarser 360 km gr...