Demography of Microtus pennsylvanicus in Southern Ontario: enumeration versus Jolly–Seber estimation compared

Abstract

A meadow vole population near Toronto went through a cycle in numbers from July 1978 to May 1982. The population never reached a density less than 96 voles/ha or greater than 630 voles/ha. Jolly–Seber estimates differed from total enumeration counts by an average of 10.6% in population size and by less than 0.03 per 2 weeks in survival rates for almost all periods. Sharp spring declines occurred in both sexes in both the increase and the peak years, but only among females in the decline year. Dispersal occurred more frequently during the spring of the increase and peak than of the decline, was associated with maturation, and was biased towards males. The breeding season lasted 9 months in the increase and decline but only 5 months in the peak. Survival of adults during the decline summer was no different from that in other years. Survival of young during the increase and peak was moderately high, but was extremely poor during the decline. Since most young failed to be captured in either pitfalls or live-traps, I conclude that they died shortly before or after weaning and suggest that maternal condition was impaired by prior events in the peak and that this may apply to other cyclic microtine populations.