Chronospecies' longevities, the origin of genera, and the punctuational model of evolution

Abstract

Taxonomists working with late Cenozoic faunas tend to view living species as starting points for the evaluation of chronospecies (i.e., segments of evolutionary lineages subjectively designated as species) that extend backward in time from the Recent. This practice makes it possible to construct a survivorship curve for late Cenozoic chronospecies by evaluating all fossil lineages believed to have survived to the present day. A survivorship curve is produced by plotting the fraction of these lineages existing at any time that have not undergone enough phyletic evolution that their extant representatives are assigned to new species. This kind of surviviorship curve has been plotted for chronospecies of mammals using the beginning of the Würm, rather than the Recent, as an endpoint in order to avoid the effects of the Würm and post-Würm mass extinction. The survivorship curve reveals that all but a small fraction of established chronospecies have long durations relative to intervals of time during which distinctive higher taxa have arisen. Phyletic turnover of species has been remarkably slow. Most net evolutionary change must have been associated with saltational speciation. Even the large majority of genera must have arisen rapidly by one or more divergent speciation events. Estimates of rates of extinction suggest that the bottleneck effect, in which constriction of a lineage is followed by re-expansion as a distinct species, cannot be a major source of evolutionary change. These conclusions, based on the evaluation of mammalian phylogeny, seem also to apply to other taxa of animals, supporting the punctuational model of evolution. The long durations of hominid species imply that the evolution of humans, like that of other mammals, conforms to this model.