Factors associated with clinical progression in HIV-2 infected-patients

Abstract

To identify factors associated with clinical progression in HIV-2 infected patients. French prospective cohort initiated in 1994. Follow-up data are collected twice a year; viral load is assessed once a year by cellular viraemia, quantitative proviral DNA and plasma RNA. A Cox proportional-hazards model was used for studying baseline factors associated with clinical progression. By December 2001, 217 patients had been enrolled. At inclusion, 80%, 6% and 14% were Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) group A, B and C, respectively. Median CD4 cell count was 436 x 10(6)/l. In the 48% of positive specimens, the median plasma RNA titre was 3.0 log10 copies/ml. Mean follow-up of the 179 patients seen at least twice was 34.4 months. Of these 13 died and nine progressed to group C. Ninety-three (52%) received antiretroviral therapy during a mean of 33 months, including a protease inhibitor in 48%. The probability of remaining AIDS-free was 97% and 95% at 1 and 3 years, respectively. Independent variables associated with clinical progression were age > or = 40 years [hazard ratio (HR), 11; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.4-91.8; P = 0.03] and plasma RNA (HR, 2.5 per additional log10 copies/ml; 95% CI, 1.3-4.7, P < 0.01). Prior group B symptoms and CD4 cell count < 200 x 10(6)/l were associated with progression to AIDS. AIDS and plasma RNA were predictive of death. Considering the limited progression rate of HIV-2 infection, combined antiretroviral therapy should be discussed in patients with high plasma RNA titres, which threshold value remains to be defined. It is recommended in case of AIDS, CDC group B symptoms or CD4 cell count < 200 x 10(6)/l.