Source Apportionment of Carbonaceous Aerosol in New York City by Multiple Linear Regression

Abstract

A multiple linear regression model was applied to aerosol chemical data from New York City to determine the sources of carbonaceous aerosol. The model used elemental tracers for auto exhaust aerosol (Pb), residual oil combustion (V), resuspended dust (Mn or Fe), and incineration (Cu or Zn). Although relative uncertainties in the source apportionment were greater than 20%, auto exhaust was found to be the main source of organic carbon with lesser contributions from other sources. A substantial fraction of elemental carbon could not be associated with the sources used in the model and was possibly associated with the combustion of diesel and distillate oils. The regression coefficients, which are related to source composition, compared well with actual measured source compositions. Because of the uncertainties it was concluded that source apportionment, especially as it relates to the development of control strategies, should utilize the results of several receptor and source models where possible.