ON THE PHYSICAL BASIS FOR THE NUMERICAL PREDICTION OF MONTHLY AND SEASONAL TEMPERATURES IN THE TROPOSPHERE-OCEAN-CONTINENT SYSTEM

Abstract

The equations of conservation of thermal energy in the troposphere and at the surface of the earth are used as the basis for predicting the temperature of the troposphere-ocean-continent system for periods of time as long as a month or a season. Computations of the normal temperature for January in the mid-troposphere and at the surface of the earth are carried out, and the results agree well with observations. Using as data the temperature in the oceans and in the mid-troposphere in December 1962 and the abnormal snow cover of December 31, 1962, a numerical temperature prediction is carried out for January 1963, obtaining good agreement with observations.