Prognostic Factors of Combined Viral Load and CD4+ Cell Count Responses Under Triple Antiretroviral Therapy, Aquitaine Cohort, 1996–1998

Abstract

To describe the viroimmunologic response and its prognostic factors 6 months after initiating triple antiretroviral therapy in a cohort of HIV-1-infected patients. Positive virologic response during follow-up (VL+) was defined as plasma HIV RNA level <500 copies/ml and positive immunologic response (CD4+) as an increase of CD4+ count of at least 50 cells/mm3. Four categories of response were defined: VL+/CD4+; VL+/CD4-; VL-/CD4+ and VL-/CD4-. Prognostic factors were studied through a polytomous logistic regression (VL-/CD4-, as reference). Baseline characteristics of the 478 studied patients were: 22% at AIDS stage, 77% pretreated, median CD4+ cell count 195/mm3 and HIV RNA level 4.42 log. At 6 months 37.5% were VL+/CD4+; 15.7% VL+/CD4-; 23.8% VL-/CD4+ and 23.0% VL-/CD4-. Baseline HIV RNA level was associated to a higher risk of VL-/CD4+ response. More advanced age was associated with a higher risk of isolated immunologic failure (VL+/CD4-), whereas pretreatment and saquinavir therapy were associated with a lower frequency of positive virologic response independently of immunologic response. HIV-RNA level, pretreatment, and saquinavir therapy were already known to be linked to therapeutic response. Based on our results, a high baseline HIV-RNA level is associated with isolated immunologic response; moreover, age should be of importance in treatment decision.