Estimating incidence from age‐specific prevalence for irreversible diseases with differential mortality

Abstract

We present a method for estimating incidence from age-specific prevalence data for an irreversible disease where the mortality risks may differ for persons with and without the disease. This method is an extension of previously presented methodology¹ for estimating incidence from prevalence for a disease that does not entail differential mortality. An application to senile cataract illustrates the method.